<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE pkgmetadata SYSTEM "http://www.gentoo.org/dtd/metadata.dtd">
<pkgmetadata>
	<longdescription>
		Conditional Forecasting and Scenario Analysis Using VAR Models //
		Provides tools for interpretable conditional forecasting and
		scenario analysis in reduced-form vector autoregressive (VAR)
		models. Implements a Kalman smoothing framework to generate
		forecasts under path restrictions on selected variables. The
		package enables decomposition of conditional forecasts into
		variable-specific contributions, and extraction of observation
		weights. It also computes measures of overall and marginal
		variable importance to enhance the economic interpretation of
		forecast revisions. The framework is structurally agnostic and
		suited for policy analysis, stress testing, and macro-financial
		applications. The methodology is described in more detail in
		Caspi and Ginker (2026) doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.25225.51040.
	</longdescription>
</pkgmetadata>
